India’s dramatic fall in COVID cases leaves experts stumped

When the coronavirus pandemic took maintain in India, there have been fears it could sink the delicate well being system of the world’s second-most populous nation.

Infections climbed dramatically for months and at one level India seemed prefer it would possibly overtake america because the nation with the very best case toll.

However infections started to plummet in September, and now the nation is reporting about 11,000 new cases a day, in comparison with a peak of practically 100,000, leaving experts perplexed.

They’ve recommended many doable explanations for the sudden drop — seen in virtually each area — together with that some areas of the nation could have reached herd immunity or that Indians could have some preexisting safety from the virus.

The Indian authorities has additionally partly attributed the dip in cases to mask-wearing, which is obligatory in public in India and violations draw hefty fines in some cities. However experts have famous the scenario is extra difficult for the reason that decline is uniform though masks compliance is flagging in some areas.

It’s extra than simply an intriguing puzzle; figuring out what’s behind the drop in infections might assist authorities management the virus in the nation, which has reported practically 11 million cases and over 155,000 deaths. Some 2.4 million individuals have died worldwide.

“If we don’t know the rationale, you would unknowingly be doing issues that might result in a flare-up,” stated Dr. Shahid Jameel, who research viruses at India’s Ashoka College.

A health worker administers a COVID-19 vaccine to a police officer at a vaccination Centre in a hospital in Mumbai, India, Monday, Feb. 8, 2021. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)
A well being employee administers a COVID-19 vaccine to a police officer at a vaccination Centre in a hospital in Mumbai, India, Monday, Feb. 8, 2021. (AP Picture/Rafiq Maqbool) Credit score: Rafiq Maqbool/AP