COVID-19: What Boris Johnson will have to consider as he decides when to ease lockdown | UK News

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Over the subsequent week the federal government and its advisers will be assessing a number of COVID-19 knowledge to give you a plan for alleviating lockdown restrictions.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson will set out his roadmap out of lockdown on 22 February and is hoping to embody the earliest potential dates for reopening totally different sectors of the financial system.

However, that each one relies on the info – and there’s a lot to consider.

Sky News has taken a have a look at the numbers the federal government will be basing its selections on.

Positivity fee

The share of individuals’s checks coming again optimistic has dropped dramatically since lockdown began and continues to lower.

However, the speed remains to be not as low as in the course of the summer season.

R quantity

Previously few days, the variety of individuals one particular person with COVID-19 is infecting has lowered to under one for the primary time since July.

The present R quantity implies that on common, for each 10 individuals contaminated they will infect between seven and 9 different individuals.

There is usually a vital quantity of variability throughout a area, particularly if there’s a native outbreak, so the federal government stays cautious in regards to the R quantity, however the consultants on SAGE, the scientific advisory physique, stated the most recent estimates “are dependable”.

Instances

The variety of new instances every day has plummeted because the begin of the present lockdown, when they peaked.

They proceed to drop however stay a lot greater than in the course of the summer season when far fewer individuals had been being examined, in contrast with now.

Deaths

The variety of individuals dying inside 28 days of testing optimistic for COVID-19 has tremendously lowered because the peak of 19 January, two weeks after lockdown began.

However, deaths are nonetheless on the identical degree as Boxing Day and 26 April, and after a steady discount since 28 January, 8 February noticed an increase.

Hospital admissions

The variety of individuals being admitted to hospital has dropped dramatically because the week after the present lockdown began and continues to lower.

However, like instances and deaths, each day hospital admissions are nonetheless a lot greater than the summer season and are in keeping with mid-April and mid-November.

The prime minister stated 60% of hospital COVID sufferers are underneath 70 so now’s “no second to chill out…as a result of the risk from this virus stays very actual”.

Final result of COVID-19 hospital sufferers

As extra persons are vaccinated the hope is that fewer will be admitted to hospital with COVID-19 and fewer will die from the illness.

However, the info suggests the loss of life fee amongst COVID-19 hospital sufferers aged 70 and over stays excessive.

Vaccinations

The federal government hit its goal to supply all the high 4 precedence teams – 15 million individuals – a vaccine by 15 February.

These included all older care residence residents and workers, everybody over 70, all frontline NHS and care workers, and people who are clinically extraordinarily weak.

All areas have vaccinated the vast majority of individuals aged 70 and above and other people aged 65 and above at the moment are being supplied their first dose.

London is barely lagging behind the remainder of England in administering first doses to the highest three age teams though it’s forward within the 65-69 age group.

Mr Johnson warned on Monday there was not but sufficient knowledge on how the vaccination can cease transmission of the virus.

The prime minister has warned that he and his advisers will have to be “very prudent” about their determination on easing the lockdown and stated they need to see “progress that’s cautious however irreversible”.